Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming
Round 1 · Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 UK
GEN 74.9%25.1% IG
Expected values
18.17.82.731:491.83.911.5
Total kills 29.3 · towers 11.6 · dragons 4.5
Bet365 fair chance for GEN (Map 1): 79.5% · model: 74.9% (-4.6 pts)
| LCK 1676 | League baseline | LPL 1636 |
| +204 | 2026 results | +41 |
| 1806 | Performance (40% share) | 1641 |
| 13-6 | International games | 0-0 |
| – | Pedigree | – |
| 1850 | Rating | 1663 |
Different leagues: domestic form counts for a quarter, and league baselines plus international results set the gap.
Bet365 odds vs our numbers
Implied = 1 ÷ price. Fair = implied with the bookmaker margin removed. Ours = model (winners) or share of both teams' 2026 games that would have won the bet. Edge = ours − implied.
| Market | Selection | Price | Implied | Fair | Ours | Edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 1 · Kill handicap | IG +10.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 57.6% | +3.0 | – | |
| GEN -10.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 42.4% | -12.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Dragon handicap | GEN -1.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 46.5% | -1.1 | – | |
| IG +1.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 53.5% | -6.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total kills | Under 27.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -8.3 | – | |
| Over 27.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 53.6% | -1.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total towers | Over 11.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 51.0% | -7.2 | – | |
| Under 11.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 49.0% | -1.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total dragons | Under 4.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 54.3% | -3.8 | – | |
| Over 4.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 45.7% | -4.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Map duration (min) | Under 31.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 54.9% | -5.3 | – | |
| Over 31.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 45.1% | -2.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Map winner | GEN to win | 1.16 | 86.2% | 79.5% | 74.9% | -11.3 | – | |
| IG to win | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.5% | 25.1% | +2.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Tower handicap | GEN -6.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -6.7 | – | |
| IG +6.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 52.1% | -2.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Duro +2.5 v Meiko | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 73.0% | +10.9 | – | |
| Meiko -2.5 v Duro | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 27.0% | -18.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Wei +4.5 v Canyon | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 60.4% | +5.8 | – | |
| Canyon -4.5 v Wei | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 39.6% | -15.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Chovy -3.5 v Rookie | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 39.7% | -12.9 | – | |
| Rookie +3.5 v Chovy | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 60.3% | +4.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Kiin -3.5 v TheShy | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 39.0% | -16.6 | – | |
| TheShy +3.5 v Kiin | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 61.0% | +8.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Kiin over 3.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 43.9% | -16.4 | – | |
| Kiin under 3.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 56.1% | +8.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Canyon over 3.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 43.8% | -3.8 | – | |
| Canyon under 3.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 56.2% | -4.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Chovy over 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 38.3% | -16.4 | – | |
| Chovy under 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 61.7% | +7.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Ruler over 5.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 41.7% | -13.0 | – | |
| Ruler under 5.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 58.3% | +3.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Duro over 0.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 47.4% | -10.7 | – | |
| Duro under 0.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 52.6% | +2.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | TheShy over 1.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 58.3% | +0.2 | – | |
| TheShy under 1.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 41.7% | -8.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Meiko +4.5 v Duro | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 56.3% | +6.3 | – | |
| Duro -4.5 v Meiko | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 43.7% | -14.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | JiaQi +3.5 v Ruler | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 62.0% | +1.7 | – | |
| Ruler -3.5 v JiaQi | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 38.0% | -9.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Wei over 1.5 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.8% | 72.9% | +7.5 | – | |
| Wei under 1.5 | 2.37 | 42.2% | 39.2% | 27.1% | -15.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Rookie over 2.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 51.4% | +1.4 | – | |
| Rookie under 2.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 48.6% | -9.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | JiaQi over 2.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 71.7% | +11.5 | – | |
| JiaQi under 2.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 28.3% | -19.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Meiko over 0.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -10.3 | – | |
| Meiko under 0.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +1.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Kiin over 1.5 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.8% | 70.0% | +4.7 | – | |
| Kiin under 1.5 | 2.37 | 42.2% | 39.2% | 30.0% | -12.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Canyon over 1.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 66.8% | +3.1 | – | |
| Canyon under 1.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 33.2% | -11.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Chovy over 1.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 54.1% | +1.5 | – | |
| Chovy under 1.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 45.9% | -9.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Ruler over 1.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 62.8% | +4.6 | – | |
| Ruler under 1.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 37.2% | -12.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Duro over 1.5 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.8% | 70.0% | +4.6 | – | |
| Duro under 1.5 | 2.37 | 42.2% | 39.2% | 30.0% | -12.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | TheShy over 3.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 43.3% | -16.9 | – | |
| TheShy under 3.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 56.7% | +9.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Wei over 4.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 33.8% | -13.9 | – | |
| Wei under 4.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 66.2% | +6.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Rookie over 3.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 25.0% | -19.5 | – | |
| Rookie under 3.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 75.0% | +11.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | JiaQi over 4.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 31.2% | -16.4 | – | |
| JiaQi under 4.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 68.8% | +8.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Meiko over 4.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 28.7% | -15.8 | – | |
| Meiko under 4.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 71.3% | +7.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Kiin over 7.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 34.9% | -12.7 | – | |
| Kiin under 7.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 65.1% | +4.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Canyon over 9.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 40.9% | -13.8 | – | |
| Canyon under 9.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 59.1% | +4.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Chovy over 7.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 41.4% | -13.2 | – | |
| Chovy under 7.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 58.6% | +3.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Ruler over 6.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 47.0% | -13.3 | – | |
| Ruler under 6.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 53.0% | +5.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Duro over 12.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 42.8% | -15.3 | – | |
| Duro under 12.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 57.2% | +7.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | TheShy over 3.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 58.6% | +6.0 | – | |
| TheShy under 3.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 41.4% | -14.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Wei over 5.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 44.8% | -0.7 | – | |
| Wei under 5.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 55.2% | -6.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Rookie over 4.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 45.3% | -4.7 | – | |
| Rookie under 4.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 54.7% | -3.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | JiaQi over 3.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 66.8% | +6.5 | – | |
| JiaQi under 3.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 33.2% | -14.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Meiko over 7.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 56.2% | +0.6 | – | |
| Meiko under 7.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 43.8% | -8.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Kiin -2.5 v TheShy | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 34.2% | -13.4 | – | |
| TheShy +2.5 v Kiin | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 65.8% | +5.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Canyon -1.5 v Wei | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 36.9% | -13.1 | – | |
| Wei +1.5 v Canyon | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 63.1% | +5.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Chovy -2.5 v Rookie | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 36.4% | -11.2 | – | |
| Rookie +2.5 v Chovy | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 63.6% | +3.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Ruler -2.5 v JiaQi | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 38.0% | -20.2 | – | |
| JiaQi +2.5 v Ruler | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 62.0% | +12.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Duro -0.5 v Meiko | 2.62 | 38.2% | 35.5% | 33.8% | -4.4 | – | |
| Meiko +0.5 v Duro | 1.44 | 69.4% | 64.5% | 66.2% | -3.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Kiin +1.5 v TheShy | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 61.2% | +13.5 | – | |
| TheShy -1.5 v Kiin | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 38.8% | -21.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Canyon +2.5 v Wei | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 66.5% | +8.4 | – | |
| Wei -2.5 v Canyon | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 33.5% | -16.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Chovy +1.5 v Rookie | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 63.2% | +8.6 | – | |
| Rookie -1.5 v Chovy | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 36.8% | -17.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Ruler +2.5 v JiaQi | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 63.6% | +9.0 | – | |
| JiaQi -2.5 v Ruler | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 36.4% | -18.3 | – |
Barons and inhibitors aren't in our match data, so those lines show the price only. Not betting advice.
1 snapshot · last Fri 23 Oct, 13:30
Try pulling from Bet365
Bet365 usually blocks automatic reading. Each try uses one Firecrawl credit.