Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports
Round 1 · Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 UK
HLE 67.7%32.3% TES
Expected values
18.47.12.431:262.04.514.1
Total kills 33.0 · towers 11.5 · dragons 4.4
Bet365 fair chance for HLE (Map 1): 76.6% · model: 67.7% (-8.9 pts)
| LCK 1676 | League baseline | LPL 1636 |
| +119 | 2026 results | +21 |
| 1772 | Performance (40% share) | 1666 |
| 15-9 | International games | 3-6 |
| – | Pedigree | – |
| 1786 | Rating | 1661 |
Different leagues: domestic form counts for a quarter, and league baselines plus international results set the gap.
Bet365 odds vs our numbers
Implied = 1 ÷ price. Fair = implied with the bookmaker margin removed. Ours = model (winners) or share of both teams' 2026 games that would have won the bet. Edge = ours − implied.
| Market | Selection | Price | Implied | Fair | Ours | Edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 1 · Map winner | HLE to win | 1.22 | 82.0% | 76.6% | 67.7% | -14.3 | – | |
| TES to win | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.4% | 32.3% | +7.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Kill handicap | HLE -8.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 44.4% | -13.7 | – | |
| TES +8.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 55.6% | +5.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Tower handicap | TES +6.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 61.0% | +5.5 | – | |
| HLE -6.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 39.0% | -13.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Dragon handicap | HLE -1.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 36.9% | -17.8 | – | |
| TES +1.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 63.1% | +8.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total kills | Over 30.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 59.4% | +9.4 | – | |
| Under 30.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 40.6% | -17.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total towers | Over 11.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 48.0% | -7.6 | – | |
| Under 11.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 52.0% | -0.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total dragons | Over 4.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 43.8% | -3.8 | – | |
| Under 4.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 56.2% | -4.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Map duration (min) | Over 31.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 44.2% | -1.3 | – | |
| Under 31.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 55.8% | -6.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Zeka under 1.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 | – | |
| Zeka over 1.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 57.7% | +3.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Zeus over 3.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 36.3% | -16.4 | – | |
| Zeus under 3.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 63.7% | +8.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Kanavi over 3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 53.8% | -0.9 | – | |
| Kanavi under 3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -8.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Zeka over 5.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 39.0% | -11.0 | – | |
| Zeka under 5.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 61.0% | +2.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Gumayusi over 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 41.5% | -13.1 | – | |
| Gumayusi under 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 58.5% | +3.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Delight over 0.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 60.9% | -2.8 | – | |
| Delight under 0.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 39.1% | -5.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Tian over 2.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 59.6% | +5.0 | – | |
| Tian under 2.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 40.4% | -14.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Creme over 2.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 65.1% | +12.4 | – | |
| Creme under 2.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 34.9% | -20.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | JackeyLove over 3.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 56.2% | +10.8 | – | |
| JackeyLove under 3.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 43.8% | -18.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Zhuo over 0.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 54.6% | -0.0 | – | |
| Zhuo under 0.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -9.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Zeus over 1.5 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.8% | 69.0% | +3.7 | – | |
| Zeus under 1.5 | 2.37 | 42.2% | 39.2% | 31.0% | -11.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Kanavi over 2.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 70.3% | +17.7 | – | |
| Kanavi under 2.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 29.7% | -25.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Gumayusi over 2.5 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.5% | 60.1% | +20.1 | – | |
| Gumayusi under 2.5 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 39.9% | -26.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Delight over 2.5 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.5% | 51.7% | +11.7 | – | |
| Delight under 2.5 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 48.3% | -18.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Tian over 4.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 35.6% | -8.9 | – | |
| Tian under 4.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 64.4% | +0.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Creme over 3.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 31.5% | -16.1 | – | |
| Creme under 3.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 68.5% | +8.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | JackeyLove over 3.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 37.3% | -22.9 | – | |
| JackeyLove under 3.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 62.7% | +15.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Zhuo over 3.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 30.1% | -32.1 | – | |
| Zhuo under 3.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 69.9% | +24.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Zeus over 6.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 48.1% | -10.1 | – | |
| Zeus under 6.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 51.9% | +1.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Kanavi over 9.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 43.8% | -3.8 | – | |
| Kanavi under 9.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 56.2% | -4.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Zeka over 7.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 42.9% | -4.7 | – | |
| Zeka under 7.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 57.1% | -3.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Gumayusi over 7.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 48.0% | -4.6 | – | |
| Gumayusi under 7.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 52.0% | -3.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Delight over 12.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 49.2% | -6.4 | – | |
| Delight under 12.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 50.8% | -1.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Tian over 5.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 62.2% | +7.5 | – | |
| Tian under 5.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 37.8% | -16.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Creme over 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 56.9% | +2.3 | – | |
| Creme under 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 43.1% | -11.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | JackeyLove over 4.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 60.1% | +12.5 | – | |
| JackeyLove under 4.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 39.9% | -20.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Zhuo over 8.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 62.7% | +12.7 | – | |
| Zhuo under 8.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 37.3% | -20.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Kanavi -0.5 v Tian | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 51.3% | -10.9 | – | |
| Tian +0.5 v Kanavi | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 48.7% | +3.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Zeka -2.5 v Creme | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 39.5% | -18.6 | – | |
| Creme +2.5 v Zeka | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 60.5% | +10.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Gumayusi -1.5 v JackeyLove | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 37.5% | -15.2 | – | |
| JackeyLove +1.5 v Gumayusi | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 62.5% | +7.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Delight -0.5 v Zhuo | 2.37 | 42.2% | 39.2% | 40.5% | -1.7 | – | |
| Zhuo +0.5 v Delight | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.8% | 59.5% | -5.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Kanavi +1.5 v Tian | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 65.8% | +11.2 | – | |
| Tian -1.5 v Kanavi | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 34.2% | -20.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Zeka +1.5 v Creme | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 62.8% | +10.2 | – | |
| Creme -1.5 v Zeka | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 37.2% | -18.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Gumayusi +1.5 v JackeyLove | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 68.1% | +18.1 | – | |
| JackeyLove -1.5 v Gumayusi | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 31.9% | -26.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Delight +1.5 v Zhuo | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 72.9% | +25.2 | – | |
| Zhuo -1.5 v Delight | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 27.1% | -33.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Kanavi -3.5 v Tian | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 39.3% | -15.4 | – | |
| Tian +3.5 v Kanavi | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 60.7% | +6.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Zeka -2.5 v Creme | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 41.3% | -13.3 | – | |
| Creme +2.5 v Zeka | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 58.7% | +4.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Gumayusi -2.5 v JackeyLove | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 45.5% | -12.7 | – | |
| JackeyLove +2.5 v Gumayusi | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 54.5% | +4.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Delight -4.5 v Zhuo | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 40.7% | -14.0 | – | |
| Zhuo +4.5 v Delight | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 59.3% | +4.7 | – |
Barons and inhibitors aren't in our match data, so those lines show the price only. Not betting advice.
1 snapshot · last Fri 23 Oct, 14:24
Try pulling from Bet365
Bet365 usually blocks automatic reading. Each try uses one Firecrawl credit.