Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI
Round 1 · Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 UK
BLG 79.0%21.0% MKOI
Expected values
19.08.42.832:431.93.411.4
Total kills 30.6 · towers 11.7 · dragons 4.7
Bet365 fair chance for BLG (Map 1): 81.4% · model: 79.0% (-2.4 pts)
| LPL 1636 | League baseline | LEC 1559 |
| +182 | 2026 results | +12 |
| 1793 | Performance (40% share) | 1598 |
| 26-11 | International games | 1-3 |
| – | Pedigree | – |
| 1808 | Rating | 1582 |
Different leagues: domestic form counts for a quarter, and league baselines plus international results set the gap.
Bet365 odds vs our numbers
Implied = 1 ÷ price. Fair = implied with the bookmaker margin removed. Ours = model (winners) or share of both teams' 2026 games that would have won the bet. Edge = ours − implied.
| Market | Selection | Price | Implied | Fair | Ours | Edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 1 · Map winner | BLG to win | 1.14 | 87.7% | 81.4% | 79.0% | -8.7 | – | |
| MKOI to win | 5.00 | 20.0% | 18.6% | 21.0% | +1.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Kill handicap | BLG -10.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -6.7 | – | |
| MKOI +10.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 52.1% | -2.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Tower handicap | BLG -6.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 60.0% | +1.9 | – | |
| MKOI +6.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 40.0% | -10.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Dragon handicap | BLG -1.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 40.6% | -9.4 | – | |
| MKOI +1.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 59.4% | +1.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total kills | Over 30.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 50.4% | +5.0 | – | |
| Under 30.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 49.6% | -12.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total towers | Over 11.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -5.1 | – | |
| Under 11.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 50.4% | -4.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total dragons | Over 4.5 | 2.37 | 42.2% | 39.2% | 54.6% | +12.4 | – | |
| Under 4.5 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.8% | 45.4% | -20.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Map duration (min) | Over 29.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 73.7% | +19.0 | – | |
| Under 29.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 25.1% | -29.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Bin over 6.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 40.7% | -4.8 | – | |
| Bin under 6.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 59.3% | -2.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Bin over 2.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 49.3% | -14.4 | – | |
| Bin under 2.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 50.7% | +6.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | XUN over 3.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 51.8% | -6.3 | – | |
| XUN under 3.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 48.2% | -1.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Knight over 5.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 53.6% | -6.6 | – | |
| Knight under 5.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 46.4% | -1.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Viper over 5.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 39.7% | -5.8 | – | |
| Viper under 5.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 60.3% | -1.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | ON over 0.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 51.9% | -11.8 | – | |
| ON under 0.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 48.1% | +3.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Myrwn over 1.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 58.4% | +5.8 | – | |
| Myrwn under 1.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 41.6% | -13.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Elyoya over 2.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 55.1% | +10.6 | – | |
| Elyoya under 2.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 44.9% | -18.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | jojopyun over 2.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 57.6% | +5.0 | – | |
| jojopyun under 2.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 42.4% | -13.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Supa over 2.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 74.0% | +11.9 | – | |
| Supa under 2.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 26.0% | -19.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Alvaro over 0.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 49.9% | -0.1 | – | |
| Alvaro under 0.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 50.1% | -8.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Bin over 1.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 63.6% | -0.1 | – | |
| Bin under 1.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 36.4% | -8.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | XUN over 2.5 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.5% | 50.4% | +10.4 | – | |
| XUN under 2.5 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 49.6% | -17.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Knight over 1.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 58.4% | +5.8 | – | |
| Knight under 1.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 41.6% | -14.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Viper over 1.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 65.2% | +7.1 | – | |
| Viper under 1.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 34.8% | -15.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | ON over 2.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 63.4% | +8.8 | – | |
| ON under 2.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 36.6% | -18.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Myrwn over 3.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 56.2% | -5.9 | – | |
| Myrwn under 3.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 43.8% | -1.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Elyoya over 3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 59.8% | +5.1 | – | |
| Elyoya under 3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 40.2% | -14.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | jojopyun over 3.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 59.8% | -0.5 | – | |
| jojopyun under 3.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 40.2% | -7.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Supa over 3.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 50.2% | +0.2 | – | |
| Supa under 3.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 49.8% | -8.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Alvaro over 4.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 41.9% | -5.7 | – | |
| Alvaro under 4.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 58.1% | -2.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | XUN over 9.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 42.7% | -12.0 | – | |
| XUN under 9.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +2.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Knight over 6.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 51.4% | -8.9 | – | |
| Knight under 6.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 48.6% | +1.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Viper over 7.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -5.6 | – | |
| Viper under 7.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 51.0% | -3.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | ON over 13.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 45.2% | -4.8 | – | |
| ON under 13.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 54.8% | -3.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Myrwn over 3.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 61.5% | +3.4 | – | |
| Myrwn under 3.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 38.5% | -11.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Elyoya over 6.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 49.7% | -0.3 | – | |
| Elyoya under 6.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 50.3% | -7.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | jojopyun over 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -10.9 | – | |
| jojopyun under 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 56.3% | +1.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Supa over 3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +1.4 | – | |
| Supa under 3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 44.0% | -10.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Alvaro over 7.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 58.6% | +4.0 | – | |
| Alvaro under 7.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 41.4% | -13.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Bin -1.5 v Myrwn | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 38.8% | -15.9 | – | |
| Myrwn +1.5 v Bin | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 61.2% | +6.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | XUN -1.5 v Elyoya | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -10.7 | – | |
| Elyoya +1.5 v XUN | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +1.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Knight -3.5 v jojopyun | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 43.5% | -9.2 | – | |
| jojopyun +3.5 v Knight | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 56.5% | +1.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Viper -2.5 v Supa | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 34.1% | -15.9 | – | |
| Supa +2.5 v Viper | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 65.9% | +7.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | ON -0.5 v Alvaro | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 34.2% | -10.3 | – | |
| Alvaro +0.5 v ON | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 65.8% | +2.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Bin +2.5 v Myrwn | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 63.1% | +1.0 | – | |
| Myrwn -2.5 v Bin | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 36.9% | -8.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | XUN +1.5 v Elyoya | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 58.5% | +3.9 | – | |
| Elyoya -1.5 v XUN | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 41.5% | -13.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Knight +2.5 v jojopyun | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 58.2% | +0.0 | – | |
| jojopyun -2.5 v Knight | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 41.8% | -8.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Viper +1.5 v Supa | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 58.7% | +6.1 | – | |
| Supa -1.5 v Viper | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 41.3% | -14.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | ON +1.5 v Alvaro | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 63.5% | +8.9 | – | |
| Alvaro -1.5 v ON | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 36.5% | -18.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Bin -2.5 v Myrwn | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 43.6% | -4.1 | – | |
| Myrwn +2.5 v Bin | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 56.4% | -3.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | XUN -3.5 v Elyoya | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 44.5% | -8.1 | – | |
| Elyoya +3.5 v XUN | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 55.5% | -0.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Knight -2.5 v jojopyun | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 46.0% | -6.6 | – | |
| jojopyun +2.5 v Knight | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 54.0% | -1.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Viper -3.5 v Supa | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 49.1% | -9.0 | – | |
| Supa +3.5 v Viper | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 50.9% | +0.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | ON -5.5 v Alvaro | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 43.4% | -11.2 | – | |
| Alvaro +5.5 v ON | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 56.6% | +1.9 | – |
Barons and inhibitors aren't in our match data, so those lines show the price only. Not betting advice.
1 snapshot · last Fri 23 Oct, 13:23
Try pulling from Bet365
Bet365 usually blocks automatic reading. Each try uses one Firecrawl credit.