G2 Esports vs Dplus Kia
Round 1 · Fri 23 Oct, 22:00 UK
G2 45.5%54.5% DK
Expected values
14.05.72.233:052.36.314.9
Total kills 29.6 · towers 12.1 · dragons 4.6
Bet365 fair chance for G2 (Map 1): 42.3% · model: 45.5% (+3.3 pts)
| LEC 1559 | League baseline | LCK 1676 |
| +155 | 2026 results | +80 |
| 1682 | Performance (40% share) | 1716 |
| 17-18 | International games | 11-3 |
| – | Pedigree | – |
| 1701 | Rating | 1740 |
Different leagues: domestic form counts for a quarter, and league baselines plus international results set the gap.
Bet365 odds vs our numbers
Implied = 1 ÷ price. Fair = implied with the bookmaker margin removed. Ours = model (winners) or share of both teams' 2026 games that would have won the bet. Edge = ours − implied.
| Market | Selection | Price | Implied | Fair | Ours | Edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 1 · Map winner | G2 to win | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 45.5% | +0.1 | – | |
| DK to win | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 54.5% | -7.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Kill handicap | G2 +3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +0.1 | – | |
| DK -3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -9.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Dragon handicap | G2 +0.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 54.5% | -1.0 | – | |
| DK -0.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 45.5% | -7.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Tower handicap | G2 +3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 57.2% | +2.6 | – | |
| DK -3.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 42.8% | -11.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total kills | Over 29.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 43.3% | -2.2 | – | |
| Under 29.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 56.7% | -5.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total towers | Over 11.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 55.8% | -7.9 | – | |
| Under 11.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 44.2% | -0.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Total dragons | Over 4.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 49.1% | -11.1 | – | |
| Under 4.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 50.9% | +3.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Map duration (min) | Over 32.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 46.4% | -11.8 | – | |
| Under 32.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 53.6% | +3.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | BrokenBlade over 4.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 56.9% | +6.9 | – | |
| BrokenBlade under 4.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 43.1% | -15.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | BrokenBlade over 1.5 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.8% | 60.8% | -4.6 | – | |
| BrokenBlade under 1.5 | 2.37 | 42.2% | 39.2% | 39.2% | -3.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | SkewMond over 3.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 52.0% | +7.5 | – | |
| SkewMond under 3.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 48.0% | -15.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Caps over 3.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 53.2% | +0.6 | – | |
| Caps under 3.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 46.8% | -8.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Hans Sama over 3.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 49.1% | -3.5 | – | |
| Hans Sama under 3.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 50.9% | -4.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Labrov over 0.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -7.4 | – | |
| Labrov under 0.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 52.7% | -1.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Siwoo over 2.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 40.7% | -11.9 | – | |
| Siwoo under 2.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 59.3% | +3.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Lucid over 3.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 34.7% | -10.8 | – | |
| Lucid under 3.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 65.3% | +3.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | ShowMaker over 3.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 43.5% | -12.1 | – | |
| ShowMaker under 3.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 56.5% | +3.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Smash over 4.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 49.7% | -5.9 | – | |
| Smash under 4.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 50.3% | -2.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player kills | Career over 0.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 46.9% | -11.2 | – | |
| Career under 0.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 53.1% | +3.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | BrokenBlade over 3.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 35.7% | -8.7 | – | |
| BrokenBlade under 3.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 64.3% | +0.6 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | SkewMond over 2.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 53.3% | -6.9 | – | |
| SkewMond under 2.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 46.7% | -1.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Caps over 2.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 52.1% | -8.2 | – | |
| Caps under 2.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 47.9% | +0.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Hans Sama over 2.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 45.9% | -12.2 | – | |
| Hans Sama under 2.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 54.1% | +4.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Labrov over 4.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 31.6% | -12.8 | – | |
| Labrov under 4.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 68.4% | +4.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Siwoo over 2.5 | 1.61 | 62.1% | 57.7% | 52.5% | -9.6 | – | |
| Siwoo under 2.5 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.3% | 47.5% | +2.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Lucid over 2.5 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.9% | 57.0% | -6.7 | – | |
| Lucid under 2.5 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% | 43.0% | -1.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | ShowMaker over 2.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 42.6% | -5.1 | – | |
| ShowMaker under 2.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 57.4% | -2.8 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Smash over 2.5 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.5% | 42.4% | +2.4 | – | |
| Smash under 2.5 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 57.6% | -9.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player deaths | Career over 2.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 49.9% | -2.7 | – | |
| Career under 2.5 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 50.1% | -5.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | SkewMond over 6.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 49.2% | +1.5 | – | |
| SkewMond under 6.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 50.8% | -9.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Caps over 5.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 53.0% | +5.4 | – | |
| Caps under 5.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 47.0% | -13.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Hans Sama over 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +1.4 | – | |
| Hans Sama under 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -10.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Labrov over 9.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 53.8% | -0.8 | – | |
| Labrov under 9.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -8.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Siwoo over 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 39.0% | -15.6 | – | |
| Siwoo under 4.5 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 61.0% | +6.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Lucid over 8.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 34.6% | -15.4 | – | |
| Lucid under 8.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 65.4% | +7.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | ShowMaker over 5.5 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 49.0% | -11.3 | – | |
| ShowMaker under 5.5 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 51.0% | +3.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Smash over 5.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 42.6% | -15.5 | – | |
| Smash under 5.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 57.4% | +7.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player assists | Career over 11.5 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 37.4% | -12.6 | – | |
| Career under 11.5 | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 62.6% | +4.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | BrokenBlade +0.5 v Siwoo | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 59.7% | +5.0 | – | |
| Siwoo -0.5 v BrokenBlade | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 40.3% | -14.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | SkewMond +0.5 v Lucid | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.9% | 66.4% | +6.1 | – | |
| Lucid -0.5 v SkewMond | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% | 33.6% | -14.0 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Caps +0.5 v ShowMaker | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 62.7% | +4.5 | – | |
| ShowMaker -0.5 v Caps | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 37.3% | -12.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Hans Sama +1.5 v Smash | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 55.2% | -3.0 | – | |
| Smash -1.5 v Hans Sama | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 44.8% | -5.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most kills | Labrov +0.5 v Career | 1.44 | 69.4% | 64.5% | 68.3% | -1.1 | – | |
| Career -0.5 v Labrov | 2.62 | 38.2% | 35.5% | 31.7% | -6.5 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | BrokenBlade -0.5 v Siwoo | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 42.2% | -7.8 | – | |
| Siwoo +0.5 v BrokenBlade | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 57.8% | -0.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | SkewMond +0.5 v Lucid | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 52.3% | -5.9 | – | |
| Lucid -0.5 v SkewMond | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 47.7% | -2.3 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Caps -0.5 v ShowMaker | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -9.2 | – | |
| ShowMaker +0.5 v Caps | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 54.6% | -0.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Hans Sama -0.5 v Smash | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 46.3% | -9.3 | – | |
| Smash +0.5 v Hans Sama | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 53.7% | +1.1 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most deaths | Labrov -1.5 v Career | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 43.4% | -11.2 | – | |
| Career +1.5 v Labrov | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 56.6% | +1.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | BrokenBlade +0.5 v Siwoo | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 67.2% | +9.1 | – | |
| Siwoo -0.5 v BrokenBlade | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 32.8% | -17.2 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | SkewMond +1.5 v Lucid | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 54.0% | -0.6 | – | |
| Lucid -1.5 v SkewMond | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -8.7 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Caps +0.5 v ShowMaker | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.4% | 54.2% | -1.3 | – | |
| ShowMaker -0.5 v Caps | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.6% | 45.8% | -6.9 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Hans Sama +1.5 v Smash | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.8% | 62.4% | +4.3 | – | |
| Smash -1.5 v Hans Sama | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 37.6% | -12.4 | – | ||
| Map 1 · Player match-up: most assists | Labrov +1.5 v Career | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 57.4% | +2.8 | – | |
| Career -1.5 v Labrov | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | 42.6% | -12.1 | – |
Barons and inhibitors aren't in our match data, so those lines show the price only. Not betting advice.
1 snapshot · last Fri 23 Oct, 14:27
Try pulling from Bet365
Bet365 usually blocks automatic reading. Each try uses one Firecrawl credit.